BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Jacksonville St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 81 Overall: (9-5) Overall Strength = 139.80
Conference: Conference USA Record: (8-1) | District: 1A-01 Record: (9-5)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/29/2024 Home L * 102.40 27 55 1A 100 ( 6- 7) Coastal Carolina -37.40 0.69 9.40
2 09/07/2024 Away L * 128.45 14 49 1A 16 ( 9- 4) Louisville -11.35 -40.81 -23.65
3 09/14/2024 Away L * 127.10 34 37 1A 119 ( 5- 7) Eastern Michigan -12.69 -21.15 9.69
4 09/21/2024 Home W * 149.85 44 7 1A 131 ( 1-11) Southern Miss 10.06 1.65 26.94
5 10/04/2024 Away W * * 157.89 63 24 1A 129 ( 2-10) Kennesaw St 18.10 14.90 20.90
6 10/09/2024 Home W * * 155.63 54 13 1A 130 ( 3- 9) New Mexico St 15.84 25.16 25.16
7 10/23/2024 Home W * * 136.54 42 20 1A 132 ( 3- 9) Middle Tennessee St -3.25 23.22 25.25
8 10/30/2024 Away W * * 142.96 31 21 1A 111 ( 8- 4) Liberty 3.17 6.57 6.83
9 11/09/2024 Away W * * 138.34 44 37 1A 116 ( 5- 8) Louisiana Tech -1.45 11.26 8.45
10 11/16/2024 Home W * * 130.12 34 31 1A 118 ( 4- 8) Florida Int'l -9.67 13.52 12.67
11 11/23/2024 Home W * * 142.91 21 11 1A 96 (10- 3) Sam Houston St 3.11 3.21 6.89
12 11/30/2024 Away L * * 133.82 17 19 1A 95 ( 8- 6) Western Kentucky -5.98 -3.11 3.98
13 12/06/2024 Home W * * 170.96 52 12 1A 95 ( 8- 6) Western Kentucky 31.16 1.69 8.84
14 12/20/2024 Neutral L * 140.15 27 30 1A 64 (11- 3) Ohio U. 0.35 -3.48 -3.35
Averages 139.80 36.0 26.1
Best game: 170.96 = 40 point win over Western Kentucky
Worst game: 102.40 = 28 point loss to Coastal Carolina
Team stdev: 16.41